Wednesday, November 6, 2024

New Middle-East Peace Plan

The Middle East is again on fire because of various farces and frauds. The international establishment and its regional allies have been showcasing the so called peace plan as “Deal of the Century” for the last three years. Most recently U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled his highly projected Middle East plan, winning immediate praise from a beaming Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu but a swift rejection from the Palestinians who called it nonsense. Forces of resistance completely rejected the peace plan and termed it shame of the century. Mediator forces labeled it first step towards conflict resolution. Most recently, even the Arab League has rejected the peace plan and assured Palestinians of their legitimate rights.

Palestinian Leader Mahmoud Abbas

There are now smiles and sorrows in all respective camps. In this context, Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas announced a cut of all ties with Israel and the US, including security cooperation, days after Washington unveiled a controversial Middle East plan, instantly rejected by Palestinians. He spoke at an Arab League meeting in Cairo where all members rejected US plan called after US President Donald Trump presented the deal of the century, which is seen as staunchly favouring Israel, but offers Palestinians a pathway to a limited but splintered state.

We are informing you that there will be no relations with you (Israel) and the US, including on security cooperation,” Abbas said. He added that the US plan was in “violation of the (autonomy) accords” launched in Oslo in 1993 by Israel and the Palestinians. The Palestinian leader said the decision follows the US and Israel’s “disavowal of signed agreements and international legitimacy”.

Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Shtayyeh

Even Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Shtayyeh said the plan was not a Middle-East peace plan but “a plan to protect Trump from impeachment and protect Netanyahu from prison”. He said the Palestinian leadership is “sticking to the aspirations of his people” by rejecting US President Donald Trump’s Middle East peace plan. The Palestinian leadership has warned Israel that if it annexes any part of the occupied West Bank all agreements between the two sides would be terminated.

Palestinian Unity

All the political parties of Palestine got united and stood firm against this peace plan and termed it a plan of ethnic discrimination. US President Donald Trump’s Middle East peace plan appears to have produced an unexpected result. It has forged a tenuous unity among Palestinian politicians. Both Hamas and the Al-Fatah accepted a call by President Mahmoud Abbas for a meeting of the Palestinian leadership at the presidential compound in Ramallah in the West Bank. Palestinian leaders had rejected the plan in advance, saying it aimed to impose permanent Israeli rule over the West Bank. The Palestinian Foreign Ministry said in a statement: “The US administration will not find a single Palestinian who supports this project.

“Trump’s plan is the plot of the century to liquidate the Palestinian cause. What the Palestinians are being offered right now is not rights or a state, but a permanent state of Apartheid. No amount of marketing can erase this disgrace or blur the facts.”

Win-Win Situation for Israel

Trump’s peace plan called for the eventual creation of a Palestinian state, but it fell far short of minimal Palestinian demands and would leave sizable chunks of the occupied West Bank in Israeli hands. It is indeed win-win situation for Israel and its people but a nightmare for Palestine and its people living in and around the world. For the time being, Israeli parliament delayed voting on its further annexation (annexing 30% of the occupied West Bank). More than 400,000 Israelis live in West Bank settlements which are considered illegal under international law, although Israel disputes this.

The peace deal aims to resolve one of the world’s longest-running conflicts, it was drafted under the stewardship of President Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner. The joint announcement came as both Mr Trump and Mr Netanyahu faced political challenges at home. Mr Trump is the subject of an impeachment trial in the US Senate while the Israeli PM dropped his bid for immunity on corruption charges.

Critical Analysis of Peace Plan/ Proposals

The US president projected it a big step towards peace, “My vision presents a win-win opportunity for both sides, a realistic two-state solution that resolves the risk of Palestinian statehood to Israel’s security” he added. Being regional expert of GCC & Middle East I think it lacks credibility, trustworthiness and even concept of functionality. It is even against true spirits of international law where both the grieving parties have the equal rights to plead, prosper and progress. The right of dialogue has been snatched from the struggling Palestinians. This peace plan equates somehow, to the rule of the jungle (Lion King II) where beasts and their conspirators/facilitators are privileged class and weaker creatures must live in cages and dark caves forever unfortunately. It gives a comparative advantage to Israel in all respects.   

Salient FeaturesComments
The US will recognize Israeli sovereignty over territory. It includes a conceptual map that illustrates the territorial compromises that Israel is willing to make.Most of the occupied areas will be part of Israel. It is not a plan of territorial compromises but scheme of consolidation and further annexations. 
It will “more than double the Palestinian territory and provide a Palestinian capital in eastern Jerusalem”  It is even factually incorrect. The Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) said peace plan would give Palestinians control over only 15%.
Jerusalem “will remain Israel’s undivided capital”. Both Israel and the Palestinians hold competing claims to the holy city.  The Palestinians insist that East Jerusalem, which Israel occupied in the 1967 Middle East war, be the capital of their future state. But the areas of East Jerusalem offered to the Palestinians consist of poor, crowded neighborhoods located behind a hulking concrete separation barrier.
US terms it an opportunity for Palestinians to “achieve an independent state of their very own”.The Palestine government, opposition parties and people strongly rejected it.
No Palestinians or Israelis will be uprooted from their homesIt has a big catch which out rightly favors Israel because existing Jewish settlements in the Israeli-occupied West Bank will remain.
Israel will work with the king of Jordan to ensure that the status quo governing the key holy site in Jerusalem known to Jews as the Temple Mount and al-Haram al-Sharif to Muslims is preserved. Jordan holds the religious trust that administers the site.It should be done amicably between Israel and Palestine instead of a third party make-shift arrangement.
Territory allocated to Palestinians in map “will remain open and undeveloped for a period of four years”. During that time, Palestinians can study the deal, negotiate with Israel, and “achieve the criteria for statehood”.  Right of even socio-economic development has been marginalized at least for four year that does not sound well in the civilized world.
West Bank would not be cut in half under the plan.Historically, politically, socially, administratively and economically it is not acceptable to Palestinians 
Creation of a “contiguous territory” within the future Palestinian state, for when the conditions for statehood are met, including the firm rejection of terrorismThere is no such need to have contiguous territory, if plan is articulately drafted. 

Israeli officials said Mr. Netanyahu would fly to Moscow to discuss the proposals with Russian President Vladimir Putin because Russia has become one of the strongest players in the Middle East via Syria, Iran, Iraq, Qatar and Libya. In this connection most recently, Russian president had visited Palestine. So every stakeholder is in search of winning strategic support from other regional players and of course international establishment to secure its geopolitical and geo-strategic interests in the days to come. It is feared that this peace plan if not amended and adjusted according to principle of equity & partnership, it may start a new wave of bloodshed in and around the region. `

Burning Issues

It is feared thatuntil all of the most difficult aspects of an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal, the final status issues like borders; the future of Israeli settlements in the West Bank; the long-term status of Jerusalem; and the fate of Palestinian refugees the chances of this so called peace plan will be remote and impossible to achieve. Moreover, no Jewish settler will be uprooted and Israeli sovereignty will apparently be extended to the settlement blocs and the Jordan Valley. The Palestinians might have a capital in the East Jerusalem suburbs. This “take it or leave it offer” does not a give & take befitting proposition. It seems long way to reach at a holy destination.

Serious Issues of Human Survival

Humanity has been in the line of fire since long in this region of uncertainty. It has been unmatched tussle between forces of destruction and unbending spirits of self-determination, unnecessary brutality and unfading gestures of brotherhood, state & status discrimination and demonstration of people’s unending struggle, terrorism and tireless efforts of reconciliation. Forces of darkness, enemies and attackers of humanity still hold the exercises of siege, annexations, boycott, planned socio-economic marginalization, political isolation and genie of denial and rejection to other faiths are still fly sky-high unfortunately. Although the two sides signed a breakthrough peace accord in 1993, more than a quarter of a century on the two sides is arguably as far apart as ever.

Peace Plan & United Nations Security Council Resolution 242

The Trump peace plan crushes over United Nations Security Council resolution 242 which requires Israel to return to its 1967 borders (or to their approximate, according to past US initiatives), and redraws the borders to suit Israel’s settlements and facilitate its control., the areas of East Jerusalem offered to the Palestinians consist of poor, crowded neighborhoods located behind a hulking concrete separation barrier.

The only concession the plan appears to demand of Israel is a four-year freeze on the establishment of new Israeli settlements in certain areas of the West Bank. But Israeli prime minister clarified later that this only applied to areas where there are no settlements and Israel has no immediate plans to annex, and that he considered the plan to impose no limitations on construction. It is clear-cut deviation from the recently proposed Middle East peace plan.

American-led “peace process”

In the last three decades of the American-led peace process, successive administrations at least pretended to engage, consult or listen to the Palestinian side, even when doing Israel’s bidding. It is hoped that US arrogance towards the Palestinians will backfire because continued deprivation of the Palestinians of their participation in the negotiations and debar them of their land, liberty and dignity will achieve nothing but further political chaos and widespread unrest in the region and beyond.

Serious Contradictions

Repacking of the long conflict between Israel and Palestinians and now presenting them as a permanent solution has some serious contradictions. Even after the Palestinians meet all the new conditions imposed on them, they would still ironically, be at the mercy of Israel’s security forces. Furthermore, US envisions half a Palestinian state on half of the West Bank, but only after the Palestinians combat terrorism and recognise Israel as a Jewish state extending over some 90 percent of historic Palestine. It is feared that US’s embrace of apartheid in the holy land, as a pragmatic even indispensable prerequisite for so called peace and political stability adds insult to Palestinian injury in the future.

Inhumane Actions of Trump Administration

In this connection, the Trump administration has already closed down the office of the Palestinian Liberation Organization in Washington, suspended aid to the Palestinian Authority, transferred the US embassy in Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and repealed US recognition of the refugee issue by suspending all funding to UNRWA, the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East.

Points of No ReturnIsraelPalestinians
Jerusalem (Both sides hold competing claims to this holy city)Israel occupied the formerly Jordanian-held eastern part in 1967, regards the whole of Jerusalem as its capitalThe Palestinians insist on East Jerusalem home to about 350,000 of their community as the capital of a hoped-for independent state. There is a conflict of interest which needs to be ratified as soon as possible.
Palestinian StatehoodThe Palestinians struggle for an independent state of their own, comprising the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem. Israeli prime ministers have publicly accepted the notion of a Palestinian state alongside Israel but not what form it should take.Benjamin Netanyahu has said any Palestinian state should be demilitarized with the powers to govern itself but not to threaten Israel. Whereas, respect of sovereignty and territorial holdings is the real essence of international law, UN resolutions and even international engagement which must be part of whole peace plan and its just and fair execution and implementation.     
RecognitionIsrael insists that any peace deal must include Palestinian recognition of it as the “nation-state of the Jewish people”, arguing that without this Palestinians will continue to press their own national claims to the land, causing the conflict to endureThe Palestinians says what Israel calls itself is its own business, but to recognize it as the Jewish state will discriminate against Israel’s Arab population of Palestinian origin, who are Muslims, Christians and Druze. It is valid argument which ought to be taking into consideration.
Borders
(Both conflicting sides have fundamentally different ideas)
Israel claims those ceasefire lines are militarily indefensible and were never intended to be permanent. It has not said where borders should be, other than making clear its own eastern border should be along the Jordan RiverThe Palestinians insist on borders based on ceasefire lines which separated Israel and East Jerusalem, the West Bank and Gaza between 1949 and 1967.
SettlementsIt is bitter reality that since 1967, Israel has built about 140 settlements in the occupied West Bank and East Jerusalem, as well as 121 outpost settlements built without the government’s authorization. They have become home to some 600,000 Israeli Jews. Mr Netanyahu has vowed not only to never to uproot any settlements but to bring them under Israeli sovereignty. Settlements are considered illegal by most of the international community, though Israel does not accept it.Palestinians say all settlements must be removed for a Palestinian state to be viable.
RefugeesIsrael says they are not entitled to, noting that such a move would overwhelm it demographically and lead to its end as a Jewish state.  The UN says its agencies support about 5.5 million Palestinian refugees in the Middle East (the Palestinian Authority says there are up to 6 million), including the descendants of people who fled or were expelled by Jewish forces from what became Israel in the 1948-49 war. Palestinians insist on their right to return to their former home

New Pandora Box

Trump’s 80-page Middle East Peace Plan has backfired and opened a new “Pandora box”. Deal of the Century has become deal of destruction. Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas, who has taken part in previous US-led peace talks with Israel, vowed Mr Trump’s plan will “not pass.” Mr Abbas made the statement in the West Bank city of Ramallah following a meeting of various Palestinian factions including Islamist group Hamas, which pledged to “resist the deal in all its forms.” “We will not kneel and we will not surrender,” he said, adding that the Palestinians would resist the plan through “peaceful, popular means” he further added.

Islamist groupDetails
HamasIt pledged to resist the deal in all its forms.
Al-FatahFatah party said Trump’s plan “will go to the trash (heap) of history.”

Hezbollah   Hezbollah said the plan represented an attempt to “wipe out the Palestinian people’s rights”, adding that the “shameful move… could not have been made without the complicity and betrayal of a certain number of Arab regimes.

“Trump’s plan allows for an independent state of Palestine, if it is demilitarized and the leadership recognizes Israel as a Jewish state. The plan rejects any dealings with Hamas, the Islamist militant organization that runs Gaza, and says Israel will not implement any deal unless the Palestinian Authority “or another body acceptable to Israel” has full control of the impoverished territory”.

Mixed International Reactions

The EU and Russia, which have tried to help revive the long-stalled Palestinian-Israeli peace talks pledged to study the plan but insisted it must satisfy both sides.

EU’s Stance

EU’s top diplomat Josep Borrell said the bloc will “study and assess” Mr Trump’s proposals on the basis of its commitment to a “negotiated and viable two-state solution that takes into account the legitimate aspirations of both the Palestinians and the Israelis.” Germany, the EU’s most powerful player, echoed Mr Borrell’s point by calling for a balanced approach. “Only a negotiated two-state solution, acceptable to both sides, can lead to a lasting peace between Israelis and Palestinians,” German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said.

Britain, gave the warmest reaction. “This is clearly a serious proposal, reflecting extensive time and effort”. Russia said it would study the plan and called on Israelis and Palestinians to negotiate directly to find a “mutually acceptable compromise.”

Turkey’s Stance

Whereas, Turkey the strongest advocate of the Palestinian cause strongly condemned the plan. Turkey’s foreign ministry said in a statement “this is an annexation plan aimed at killing a two-state solution and extorting the Palestinian territory.” Iran denounced the plan as a threat to regional stability and called it “shameful deal of the century”. “The shameful peace plan imposed by America on the Palestinians is the treason of the century and doomed to fail”, the Iranian foreign ministry said.

GCC’s Stance

Saudi Arabia welcomed the proposed peace plan and termed it a first step towards regional peace but stressed upon the need to protect the basic rights of Palestinians. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) called it first giant step towards conflict resolution but wants protection of Palestine and its people. Jordan supported every genuine effort aimed at achieving a just and comprehensive peace that people will accept. He said the only path to a comprehensive and lasting peace was the establishment of an independent Palestinian state based on 1967 lines and with East Jerusalem as its capital.

Egypt is a main player in the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict. It controls part of the Gaza Strip’s border and it has repeatedly been the country that brokers ceasefires between the Palestinians and Israelis. Cairo was more cautious about the proposals, urging Israel and the Palestinians to carefully study it and hold talks with US mediation.

In a statement the Egyptian Foreign Ministry said it “appreciates the continuous efforts exerted by the US administration to achieve a comprehensive and just settlement of the Palestinian issue”. It urged the two sides to hold talks to find a solution “that satisfies the aspirations of both peoples to achieve a comprehensive and just peace”, and sets the stage for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state.

Flaws & Fallacies

Flaws-IFlaws-IIFlaws-III
It purports to change history, but coming just one month before Israel’s elections, it serves petty politicsThere is a mismatch between the plan’s stated aim and the actors who are meant to put it into place. It seeks to bring peace between Israel and the Palestinians, but the Palestinians are not full partners in its implementationThe New Middle East Peace Plan doesn’t meet the Palestinians’ minimum conditions.

Pakistan’s Principal Stance

“On its part, the government of Pakistan has consistently supported a two-state solution, as enshrined in the relevant Security Council and General Assembly Resolutions. Pakistan continues to support a just and lasting solution of the Palestinian issue, through dialogue and negotiations, that leads to the realization of the legitimate rights of the Palestinians, including the right of self-determination. We renew our call for the establishment of a viable, independent and contiguous State of Palestine, on the basis of internationally-agreed parameters, the pre-1967 borders, and with Al-Quds Al-Sharif as its capital”.

White House Promise

The White House promises that a future Palestinian state would be developed with bridges, roads and tunnels, including a high-speed corridor that would link the West Bank and Gaza over Israeli territory, and enjoy a free-trade agreement with the United States. The Palestinians would also enjoy access to two Israeli ports, although Israel would retain control of the waters. The US also unveiled an economic component of the plan in June 2019 in Bahrain, with promises of US$50 billion investment in the Palestinian territories and its neighbors. The Palestinians boycotted the presentation, calling it a way to buy off their political aspirations.

Being prominent regional expert of GCC & Middle East I personally evaluate the new peace plan as the reflection of Netanyahu’s earlier vision of a Palestinian “state minus”. It consisted of Palestinians to have “all the powers to govern themselves and none of the powers to threaten us”. The plan stressed Hamas to be fully disarmed and Gaza to be demilitarized, while Israel retains the status quo of control over Palestinian territories for the next few years, including over the Jordan Valley.

Concluding Remarks

The US New Middle East Peace Plan (UNMEPP) is a “win-win” situation only for the US and its strategic ally Israel. It ignored all basic needs of struggling people of Palestine and put Israel in the driving seat. It gives a strategic comparative advantage to Israel. The government of Palestine, political parties and people alike have strongly condemned the newly announced peace plan. Moreover, all the major regional stakeholders have also strongly rejected this so called peace plan and termed it shame of the century and assault on peace. It has further polarized the Middle East.

It has numerous inbuilt flaws. It protects the interest of the occupier and destroys the genuine hopes and dreams of real owner of the land. It is true that after announcement of new peace plan conflict would not end. But it would change the geopolitical equation and socio-economic propositions in the days to come. 

I assess that this new plan will not guarantee a completely sovereign of Palestine but it will be partially sovereign. Restrictions on movement, construction and economic growth will be swept away.

People of Palestine have been confronting the Israeli occupation for so many years. It has been an unending journey during which hundreds of thousands of innocents have been martyred, wounded and kept in prisoners. They have also been victim of state terrorism and racist policies of Israel. Constant apartheid policies of Israel has badly damaged basic core of the Palestinian society. Nevertheless, it has been vivid reflection their collective struggle, determination, nationalism, patriotic spirits and above all political means to defend their rights of independence despite all hurdles. Unfortunately, with the patronage of international establishment and invisible support of the regional countries, Israeli occupation has been further strengthened which is still being ruthlessly implemented and making lives of common Palestinians miserable.

Israeli policy of annexation and grabbing of land from the real owners (Palestinians) has been creating havocs in the lives of common Palestinians. The Israel forces have been wagging unstoppable human siege, cruelty, brutality, drastic demographic decomposition, social and political marginalization, alienation, and callous killing in their home land. Israel forces are also engaged to destroy Palestinians limited resources of human survival in shape of SME, agriculture, demolition of comfort zones (houses/homes) and building, massive displacement, harming natural harmony and racist separation walls etc. According to World Bank report restrictions on Palestinian movement and access have serious repercussions on its fragile national economy.

The Israeli government continued to enforce severe and discriminatory restrictions on Palestinians’ human rights; economic mobility and restrict the movement of people and goods into and out of the Gaza Strip; and facilitate the unlawful transfer of Israeli citizens to settlements in the occupied West Bank.

The illegal Israeli blockade has been in place for more than a decade. The occupation forces do not spare any effort to harm the Palestinian people and its components, including destroying their properties, stealing their wealth and giving free hands to settlers in uprooting trees and harassing Palestinian farmers. They also use to push herds of pigs to our agricultural crops sabotage them all, as well as the destruction of vegetables and agricultural facilities we have. They use to damage our exports, especially roses, fruits, and seasonal vegetables in different ways. The occupation army is also putting obstacles in front of our small and medium-sized companies regarding imports, exports and construction.

The so-called peace plan or Deal of the Century is one of the United States conspiracies to support Israel. With the support of the US President Trump Jews are now attempting to undermine the basis of a two-state solution and to cut off the continuity of the old state of Palestine. The aim of so called deal of the century is to completely eliminate the Palestinian cause. This conspiracy has been rejected by Palestinian people and free people of the world.

According to the plan, Israel would annex the vast majority of illegal Israeli settlements in the West Bank which would be connected to the rest of Israel with their own access roads and a transportation system. Ninety-seven percent of Israelis living in the West Bank would be incorporated into Israeli territory. The Jordan Valley would also be under Israeli sovereignty, giving Israel a permanent eastern border along the Jordan River.

President Trump has claimed that his peace plan is a win-win solution for both sides but this is, in fact, a formula for perpetuation of illegal occupation of Palestinian lands by the Israel. Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas dismissed the plans as a “conspiracy” firmly stating that neither Jerusalem nor rights of Palestinian people were for sale or bargain. The plan has overturned aspirations of Palestinians and with the passage of time it is becoming clear to them that the US was not an honest broker.

Frankly speaking, the new peace plan not only inflicts further humiliation and suffering on the Palestinian people but also grants Israel’s politically powerful settler movement its every desire in its promise to “finish off the Palestinian cause.”. It pardons   Israeli war crimes and violations of international law, while also resurrecting a system of grand apartheid not seen in a country with claims to democracy since South Africa in the 1980s.

The Palestinians have angrily rejected Trump’s plan, especially given they were excluded from the drafting of the proposal in the first place. The new peace plan has been dismissed as “worthless,” “one-sided” and even “criminal” by large swathes of the international community.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expressed a strong rebuke, calling the US president’s proposal “a plan to ignore the rights of the Palestinians and legitimise Israel’s occupation,” adding that “Jerusalem is sacred to Muslims” and it can “never be accepted.” Egypt urged the Palestinians to “carefully study the proposal.” The United Arab Emirates said it “offers an important starting point for a return to negotiations within a US-led international framework.” 

Qatar expressed appreciation for Trump’s endeavours, while Saudi Arabia has essentially operated as Trump’s public relations liaison officer in the region at all unveiled stages of the Deal of the Century. There is an urgent need to rise above the self-notion of prejudice, bigotry, hatred and even prophetical frame of mind to reach at any befitting proposition in the days to come. It is need of the hour to apply holistic approach to put an end to horrendous crimes in the Middle East and especially in the holy land.

Mehmood Ul Hassan Khan
Mehmood-Ul-Hassan Khan holds the degrees of MPA (Management & Marketing) and Journalism (Development & Public Relations) From the University of the Punjab. Lahore. He Is research scholar. Did Various Courses relating To banking, law and HRM Contributed articles on Banking Economics (Pakistan & International) , Geo - Strategic issues (regional & global) with especial reference to south East Asia, Middle East and Central Asia, Current affairs, Comparative international power politics and diplomacy in various local and foreign newspapers, Journals and departments like, BBC Asia Network, MMN, USA, Journal of world Affairs and New Technology, USA and AIDS AND BEHAVIOR USA.

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